The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Marítimo 45.3%
Draw 28.7%
Leixões 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.7%
27%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
26.7%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Marítimo - Leixões Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Leixões will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Leixões (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leixões (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Samu (G) 17. Xavi Grande 5. Madsen N. 44. Correia R. (C) 23. Henrique P. 98. Ibrahima 14. Raphael Guzzo 20. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 28. Carlos Daniel 21. Bouzaidi S. 3. Butzke A.
51. Stefanovic I. (C) 77. Paulinho 14. Matheus Costa 3. Figueiredo L. 30. Serif N. 66. Balde A. 20. Miguel Sousa 22. Araujo C. 11. Agra S. 35. Rochez B. 33. Luccas Paraizo
Substitutes
6. Andrade R. 90. Borukov P. 8. Cruz M. 18. Danilovic V. 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 25. Freitas A. 9. Melro J. 1. Pastor A. (G) 7. Pena Zauner E.
13. Evrard Zag 2. Fonseca F. 18. Kanuric B. 1. Morro M. (G) 10. Paulite 44. Semeu 15. Simaozinho 91. Valente R. 7. Werton
Coaches
Moita M.
Fangueiro C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Gomes Aguiar F. T. ⚽, Carlos Daniel (A),
18', 1 - 1, Luccas Paraizo ⚽, Serif N. (A),
23', 2 - 1, Serif N. (Own goal),
28', Balde A. 🟨,
31', Paulinho 🟨,
33', Figueiredo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Paulinho ↓, Fonseca F. ↑,
50', 3 - 1, Ibrahima ⚽,
62', Rochez B. ↓, Werton ↑,
63', Figueiredo L. ↓, Semeu ↑,
64', Ibrahima ↓, Danilovic V. ↑,
70', Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↓, Pena Zauner E. ↑,
70', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Da Rocha Borges R. ↑,
71', Xavi Grande ↓, Andrade R. ↑,
72', Serif N. 🟨,
77', Miguel Sousa ↓, Kanuric B. ↑,
78', Butzke A. ↓, Melro J. ↑,
79', Agra S. ↓, Paulite ↑,
81', Carlos Daniel 🟨,
82', 3 - 2, Kanuric B. ⚽,
87', Andrade R. 🟨,
90+1', Fonseca F. 🟨,
90+5', Correia R. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 2.
Marítimo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Leixões is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Marítimo is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Leixoes
6
3
1
2
8:6
2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Marítimo - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.75%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Africa
Portugal
Watch
#ad
Samu (G) 
Xavi Grande 
Madsen N. 
Ibrahima 
Bouzaidi S. 
Stefanovic I. (C) 
Matheus Costa 
Balde A. 
Rochez B. 
Borukov P. 
Danilovic V. 
Pena Zauner E. 
Evrard Zag 
Kanuric B. 
Semeu 
