Match Info

NICARAGUA: LIGA PRIMERA - CLAUSURA - ROUND 9

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday


	Masachapa		Managua

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.5	1.43
	5.42	4.33	1.49
	5.42	4.33	1.49
	5.97	4.82	1.45	Watch
	5.6	4.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.53 ↑ (2.88)	4.52 ↑ (3.62)	1.46 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Masachapa
16.6%

Draw
20.4%

Managua
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

24.4%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Masachapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Masachapa's form might have worsened.

Managua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Managua's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Masachapa than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Masachapa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Managua than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Managua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Masachapa - Managua Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Masachapa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Managua will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).

Masachapa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Managua is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Masachapa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Masachapa have a series of guest games.

Managua will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Masachapa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Masachapa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Masachapa FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
09.03.24	Real Estelí - Masachapa	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Walter Ferretti - Masachapa	3:1 ✺
25.02.24	Municipal Jalapa - Masachapa	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Matagalpa - Masachapa	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Masachapa - Deportivo Ocotal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLLLL
- Managua FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
10.03.24	Managua - Matagalpa	3:2 ✺
03.03.24	Managua - Real Estelí	2:2 ✺
23.02.24	UNAN Managua - Managua	1:3 ✺
18.02.24	Managua - Municipal Jalapa	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	Diriangén - Managua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
26.11.23	Masachapa - Managua	2:0
21.09.23	Managua - Masachapa	2:0

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