Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Winners - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Managua		Matagalpa

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.47	3.9	5.5
	1.46	4.05	5.5	Watch
	1.5	3.98	5.19
	1.54	4.23	5.5	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.52	4.19	6.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)	4.02 ↓ (4.15)	5.53 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Managua
60.8%

Draw
22.7%

Matagalpa
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.2%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

21.4%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Managua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Matagalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Managua than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Managua - Matagalpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, ⚽,
74', 2 - 2, ⚽,
88', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Managua won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Managua is the team to beat.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Managua won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Managua won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 2.3:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Managua FC	10	8	2	0	33:10	23	26
7	Matagalpa	9	3	0	6	4:16	-12	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Managua FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
25.04.26	Managua - Diriangén	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Managua - UNAN Managua	1:1 ✺
15.04.26	Matagalpa - Managua	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Managua - Walter Ferretti	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Real Estelí - Managua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWTL
- Matagalpa FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
25.04.26	Real Estelí - Matagalpa	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Matagalpa - Walter Ferretti	4:0 ✺
15.04.26	Matagalpa - Managua	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Municipal Jalapa - Matagalpa	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Matagalpa - Diriangén	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
15.04.26	Matagalpa - Managua	1:2
15.02.26	Managua - Matagalpa	1:1
01.11.25	Managua - Matagalpa	3:0
24.08.25	Matagalpa - Managua	1:2
13.04.25	Matagalpa - Managua	3:1
16.02.25	Managua - Matagalpa	1:0
01.12.24	Matagalpa - Managua	1:5

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