Match Info

Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday


	Managua		Real Estelí

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.10	2.40
	2.65	2.95	2.42	Watch
	2.66	3.2	2.52
	2.75	3.12	2.6	Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.45
	2.74	3.16	2.62
	2.65	3	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.28)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	2.49 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Managua
34%

Draw
29.6%

Real Estelí
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

26.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Managua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Managua than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Managua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Estelí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Managua - Real Estelí Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Real Estelí (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Estelí (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Bonilla B. ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, Zepeda E. ⚽,
77', 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Managua won 2.

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

Real Estelí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Managua won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:32. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Managua won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.7:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Managua FC	10	8	2	0	33:10	23	26
4	Esteli	10	5	3	2	17:7	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Managua FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
06.09.26	Walter Ferretti - Managua	2:3 ✺
03.09.26	Managua - Diriangén	3:3 ✺
30.08.26	UNAN Managua - Managua	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Managua - Sport Sébaco	6:1 ✺
09.08.26	Matagalpa - Managua	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWWW
- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
05.09.26	Rancho Santana - Real Estelí	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Real Estelí - San Marcos	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí	0:5 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.08.26	CD Marathón - Real Estelí	3:0 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
22.08.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
08.04.26	Real Estelí - Managua	2:1
07.02.26	Managua - Real Estelí	0:2
06.12.25	Managua - Real Estelí	1:2 penalties
30.11.25	Real Estelí - Managua	0:2
22.10.25	Managua - Real Estelí	2:1
10.08.25	Real Estelí - Managua	1:0
24.05.25	Real Estelí - Managua	1:1

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