Match Info

NICARAGUA: LIGA PRIMERA - CLAUSURA - ROUND 6

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Municipal Jalapa		Masachapa

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.46	4.12
	1.84	3.6	4.11
	1.91	3.35	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.01)	3.47 ↑ (3.37)	3.99 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Jalapa
50%

Draw
26.7%

Masachapa
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

27.4%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

23.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Jalapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Masachapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Jalapa than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Municipal Jalapa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Masachapa than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Masachapa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 10).

Recent matches Municipal Jalapa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Masachapa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Masachapa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Municipal Jalapa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Municipal Jalapa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal Jalapa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ART Municipal Jalapa
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
18.02.24	Managua - Municipal Jalapa	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Municipal Jalapa - Matagalpa	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Walter Ferretti - Municipal Jalapa	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Municipal Jalapa - Sport Sébaco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLWL
- Masachapa FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
17.02.24	Matagalpa - Masachapa	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Masachapa - Deportivo Ocotal	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	UNAN Managua - Masachapa	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Masachapa - Sport Sébaco	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Masachapa - Diriangén	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
04.11.23	Masachapa - Municipal Jalapa	3:2
30.08.23	Municipal Jalapa - Masachapa	2:0

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