Match Info

NICARAGUA: Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Masachapa		UNAN Managua

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2
	2.95	3.5	2
	2.92	3.32	2.23
	2.93	3.32	2.23
	3	3.6	2
	2.99	3.59	2.22	Watch
	3.05	3.7	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.06)	3.52 ↓ (3.69)	2.1 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Masachapa
30.6%

Draw
25.9%

UNAN Managua
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

24.9%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

23.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Masachapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

UNAN Managua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Masachapa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAN Managua than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Masachapa - UNAN Managua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 1 - 0, Duron C. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Mina E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Mina E. 🟥,
65', Dolmus J. 🟥,
84', 2 - 1, de Jesus Menchaca Alarcon Y. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 8).

Masachapa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

UNAN Managua is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Masachapa have a series of guest games.

UNAN Managua will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Masachapa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Masachapa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Masachapa FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
01.04.24	Sport Sébaco - Masachapa	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Diriangén - Masachapa	4:2 ✺
13.03.24	Masachapa - Managua	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Real Estelí - Masachapa	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Walter Ferretti - Masachapa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLLTL
- UNAN Managua
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
01.04.24	UNAN Managua - Matagalpa	3:2 ✺
21.03.24	UNAN Managua - Municipal Jalapa	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Real Estelí - UNAN Managua	3:0 ✺
13.03.24	Sport Sébaco - UNAN Managua	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Diriangén - UNAN Managua	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
03.02.24	UNAN Managua - Masachapa	3:2
07.10.23	UNAN Managua - Masachapa	4:1
12.08.23	Masachapa - UNAN Managua	1:4

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