Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:00	DAZN App
Ecuador	18:00	DAZN App
Mexico	17:00	DAZN App
Nicaragua	17:00	Campeones, NicaSports
Paraguay	20:00	DAZN App
Peru	18:00	DAZN App
Uruguay	20:00	DAZN App
Venezuela	19:00	DAZN App
International	23:00	FIFA+


	UNAN Managua		Matagalpa

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.1
	2.88	3.4	2.12	Watch
	2.89	3.39	2.25
	2.89	3.68	2.21	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.2
	2.96	3.45	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.11)	3.44 ↓ (3.83)	2.2 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNAN Managua
31.8%

Draw
26.6%

Matagalpa
41.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.8%

24.2%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

23.4%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAN Managua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Matagalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAN Managua than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matagalpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UNAN Managua - Matagalpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAN Managua won 1.

UNAN Managua has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Matagalpa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, UNAN Managua won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, UNAN Managua won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	UNAN-Managua	14	7	3	4	17:15	2	24
9	Matagalpa	13	3	1	9	7:29	-22	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAN Managua
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
04.03.26	UNAN Managua - Diriangén	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	UNAN Managua - Real Estelí	0:3 ✺
26.02.26	Walter Ferretti - UNAN Managua	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sport Sébaco - UNAN Managua	4:1 ✺
19.02.26	UNAN Managua - Managua	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLLW
- Matagalpa FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
04.03.26	Matagalpa - Real Madriz	2:4 ✺
01.03.26	Rancho Santana - Matagalpa	2:8 ✺
25.02.26	Matagalpa - Sport Sébaco	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Matagalpa - Real Estelí	1:1 ✺
18.02.26	Walter Ferretti - Matagalpa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
04.02.26	Matagalpa - UNAN Managua	0:0
02.08.25	UNAN Managua - Matagalpa	2:2
26.04.25	UNAN Managua - Matagalpa	1:1
22.09.24	UNAN Managua - Matagalpa	0:0
01.04.24	UNAN Managua - Matagalpa	3:2
28.01.24	Matagalpa - UNAN Managua	3:1
01.10.23	Matagalpa - UNAN Managua	0:3

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