Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 42

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Matlock Town		Bradford Park Avenue

	1	X	2
	1.78	4.2	3.1
	1.8	4.48	3.34
	1.8	4.48	3.34
	1.91	4.2	2.75
	1.8	3.88	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.51)	4.25 ↓ (4.8)	3.26 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matlock Town
50.4%

Draw
21.5%

Bradford Park Avenue
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

18.9%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

18.5%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matlock Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matlock Town's form might have worsened.

Bradford Park Avenue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bradford Park Avenue's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matlock Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bradford Park Avenue, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Clarke O. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Johnston J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
64', 3 - 0, Hardy L. ⚽,
68', 4 - 0, Johnston J. ⚽,
73', 4 - 1, Thibaut A. ⚽,
77', 4 - 2, Hanson J. ⚽,
80', 5 - 2, Johnston J. (Pen),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Matlock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bradford PA have a series of home games.

Matlock will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Matlock won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
22.04.24	Matlock Town - Ashton United	5:1 ✺
20.04.24	Hyde United - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
16.04.24	Matlock Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:4 ✺
13.04.24	Matlock Town - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Radcliffe - Matlock Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWL
- Bradford Park Avenue
English NPL Premier Division
20.04.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Gainsborough Trinity	3:3 ✺
06.04.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Basford United	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Radcliffe	2:3 ✺
30.03.24	Ilkeston - Bradford Park Avenue	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Worksop Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
11.11.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Matlock Town	2:3

Matlock Town - Bradford Park Avenue: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide