Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 37

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Matlock Town		Marine

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.8	1.66
	4	4	1.68
	3.91	4.13	1.72
	3.91	4.13	1.72
	3.8	3.9	1.62
	4.15	3.85	1.68
	4	4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.82)	3.97 ↓ (4.33)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matlock Town
23.1%

Draw
22.9%

Marine
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

20.9%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

20.5%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matlock Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Marine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marine than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Matlock Town - Marine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Solomon S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Wood H. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Matlock won 4.

Matlock is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Marine is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Marine is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Matlock won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Matlock won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
23.03.24	Matlock Town - Whitby Town	1:5 ✺
16.03.24	Basford United - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Matlock Town - Lancaster City	2:1 ✺
05.03.24	Whitby Town - Matlock Town	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Workington - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- Marine FC
English NPL Premier Division
23.03.24	Lancaster City - Marine	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Marine - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Macclesfield Town - Marine	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Marine - Bradford Park Avenue	4:0 ✺
17.02.24	Radcliffe - Marine	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.08.23	Marine - Matlock Town	2:0
22.04.23	Marine - Matlock Town	0:1
04.04.23	Matlock Town - Marine	3:2
09.04.19	Marine - Matlock Town	1:3
09.10.18	Matlock Town - Marine	3:1
14.10.17	Marine - Matlock Town	1:2
16.09.17	Matlock Town - Marine	2:1

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