The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lancaster City 26.6%
Draw 23.8%
Marine 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
24.1%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
23.6%
42.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lancaster City's form might have worsened.
Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marine's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lancaster City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
69', 0 - 1, Grant B. ⚽,
78', 0 - 2, Solomon S. ⚽,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lancaster won 1.
Lancaster is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Marine is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lancaster could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Lancaster have a series of guest games.
Marine will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Lancaster won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Lancaster won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.
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