Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Mazarrón		Minerva

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5.15
	1.66	3.36	5.31	Watch
	1.53	3.4	6
	1.62	3.54	5.98
	1.48	3.66	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.59)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	5.82 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazarrón
57.9%

Draw
26.3%

Minerva
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

26.4%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

25.4%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazarrón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Minerva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazarrón than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Minerva aligns with the current prediction.

Mazarrón - Minerva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 1, Cortes F. ⚽,
90+14', 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Mazarrón is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Minerva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Minerva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mazarrón is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mazarrón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Minerva	5	2	2	1	3:2	1	8
18	Mazarron	5	0	1	4	5:9	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazarrón FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
11.01.26	Mazarrón - Pulpileño	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Águilas B - Mazarrón	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Mazarrón - UCAM Murcia B	1:1 ✺
16.12.25	Mazarrón - Muleño	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	El Palmar - Mazarrón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTWL
- SFC Minerva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
11.01.26	El Palmar - Minerva	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Minerva - Deportivo Marítimo	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Unión Molinense - Minerva	5:1 ✺
14.12.25	Minerva - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Santomera - Minerva	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
07.09.25	Minerva - Mazarrón	1:2

Mazarrón - Minerva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide