Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán)

Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
South-america	ViX Latin America
World	VIX App


	Mazatlan		Tigres UANL

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.7	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.82
	4.15	3.55	1.82	Watch
	4.38	3.76	1.84
	3.80	3.12	2.08	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.8
	4.26	3.6	1.83	Watch
	3.7	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.7)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	1.87 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazatlan
23%

Draw
26.9%

Tigres UANL
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

27.6%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

27%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Mazatlan - Tigres UANL Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tigres will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Tigres (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Mazatlan (3.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tigres UANL will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Mazatlan (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tigres (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez D. (G) 15. Colula B. 5. Almada F. 19. Merolla L. 4. Diaz J. 8. Fierro S. 23. Sierra J. 34. Moreno Villegas O. F. 10. Benedetti N. (C) 11. Barcenas Y. 90. Fabio Gomes	1. Guzman N. (G) 20. Aquino J. 2. Joaquim 23. Romulo 14. Garza J. 16. Lainez D. 34. Parra B. 8. Gorriaran F. (C) 7. Correa A. 19. Lopez I. 77. Herrera O.
Substitutes
13. Alcaraz Diaz V. A. (G) 202. Ben Rhouma A. 7. Dudu 2. Garcia J. 199. Gonzalez I. 28. Hernandez D. 20. Lainez M. 26. Leyva A. 6. Meraz R. 18. Torres A.	22. Antuna U. 11. Brunetta J. 17. Cordova S. 3. Farfan M. 10. Gignac A. 9. Ibanez N. 25. Rodriguez F. (G) 197. Sanchez Guevara D. A. 4. Sanchez J. 6. Vigon J.
Coaches
Siboldi R.	Pizarro G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Colula B. 🟥,
16', Garza J. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Almada F. ⚽, Merolla L. (A),
23', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
23', Aquino J. 🟨,
25', Garza J. ↓, Gignac A. ↑,
31', Gorriaran F. 🟨,
36', Joaquim ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
44', Benedetti N. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Correa A. ⚽,
45+5', Fabio Gomes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Benedetti N. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
46', Gorriaran F. ↓, Brunetta J. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Fabio Gomes ⚽,
56', Lopez I. ↓, Ibanez N. ↑,
67', Parra B. ↓, Cordova S. ↑,
67', Aquino J. ↓, Antuna U. ↑,
67', Diaz J. ↓, Leyva A. ↑,
67', Merolla L. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
76', Fabio Gomes ↓, Dudu ↑,
76', Sierra J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
86', 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 2, Ibanez N. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tigres may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tigres has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tigres is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Mazatlan: Intriago J. (Hamstring Injury) Meraz R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mazatlan: Herrera A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Tigres: Angulo J. (Knee Injury) Antuna U. (Knee Injury) Tapia F. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Tigres UANL - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.98%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazatlan FC
Mexican Liga MX
17.08.25	Monterrey - Mazatlan	3:2 ✺
09.08.25	Mazatlan - Tijuana	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
05.08.25	Mazatlan - San Diego	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Houston Dynamo - Mazatlan	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Los Angeles - Mazatlan	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 LTLWW
- Tigres UANL
CONCACAF League Cup
20.08.25	Inter Miami - Tigres UANL	2:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
16.08.25	Tigres UANL - Club América	1:3 ✺
08.08.25	Tigres UANL - Puebla	7:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
05.08.25	Tigres UANL - Los Angeles	1:2 ✺
01.08.25	Tigres UANL - San Diego	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
17.01.25	Tigres UANL - Mazatlan	2:1
22.10.24	Mazatlan - Tigres UANL	2:0
16.03.24	Tigres UANL - Mazatlan	5:1
30.09.23	Mazatlan - Tigres UANL	2:3
08.04.23	Tigres UANL - Mazatlan	1:2
Copa por Mexico
13.12.22	Tigres UANL - Mazatlan	0:0
Mexican Liga MX
08.07.22	Mazatlan - Tigres UANL	0:1

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