Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Mbale Municipal Stadium (Mbale)


	Mbale Heroes		Maroons

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.9
	3.45	3.54	1.94	Watch
	3.46	3.4	1.94
	3.5	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.45)	3.49 ↑ (3.45)	1.92 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbale Heroes
26.3%

Draw
26.2%

Maroons
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbale Heroes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Maroons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbale Heroes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (+2%)

Mbale Heroes - Maroons Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mbale Heroes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mabuya S. (G) 30. Adima H. 2. Eseru R. 3. Kafumbe J. 26. Kajuba J. 4. Kasozi S. 12. Kibirango H. 5. Malunda M. 20. Musamali P. 14. Ssenkungu P. 16. Waiswa C.	18. Muyomba M. (G) 13. Basoga D. 2. Kabona E. 16. Kiwanuka R. 10. Mayanja I. 5. Odipio N. 6. Okot F. 15. Onegi B. 8. Orombi R. (C) 22. Rukundo D. 17. Walugembe R.
Substitutes
17. Kawooya A. 31. Kayondo H. 21. Matata J. 23. Nsubuga M. 18. Olega C. 29. Ssebutinde C. 24. Wanakulya J.	30. Birungi N. 4. Kagogwe A. 11. Kirya A. 21. Kitagenda G. 14. Mawejje M. . Mutanda B. 1. Nalugoda A. (G) 7. Ogama M. 28. Omirambe B. 24. Tamale S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Okot F. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Odipio N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Rukundo D. ↓, Kagogwe A. ↑,
67', Muyomba M. 🟨,
68', Walugembe R. ↓, Mutanda B. ↑,
68', Orombi R. ↓, Kirya A. ↑,
78', Odipio N. 🟨,
80', Mutanda B. 🟨,
84', Kiwanuka R. ↓, Ogama M. ↑,
85', Mayanja I. ↓, Kitagenda G. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 8).

Mbale Heroes has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).

Recent matches Maroons is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games, wins - 2).

Maroons will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction is that Maroons will win today's game, with odds 1.92.

In the last 1 head-to-head matches, Mbale Heroes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbale Heroes
Ugandan Super League
25.04.25	NEC FC - Mbale Heroes	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Mbale Heroes - Express	0:1 ✺
10.04.25	Villa - Mbale Heroes	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Mbale Heroes - Wakiso Giants	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbale Heroes	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Maroons FC
Ugandan Super League
24.04.25	Maroons - Vipers	0:1 ✺
16.04.25	UPDF - Maroons	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Wakiso Giants - Maroons	3:3 ✺
05.04.25	Maroons - Express	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Lugazi Municipal - Maroons	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
02.01.25	Maroons - Mbale Heroes	1:0

Mbale Heroes - Maroons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide