Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Mbeya Kwanza		Mbeya City

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.7	2.55
	2.9	2.6	2.6
	2.95	2.55	2.47
	3.36	2.65	2.48
	3.13	1.96	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.84)	2.49 ↓ (2.56)	2.58 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbeya Kwanza
29.6%

Draw
35.8%

Mbeya City
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

34.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

25.5%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbeya Kwanza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Mbeya City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbeya Kwanza than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mbeya Kwanza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbeya City than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mbeya City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mbeya Kwanza - Mbeya City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Mbeya Kwanza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mbeya City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mbeya City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mbeya Kwanza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbeya Kwanza
Tanzanian Premier League
26.02.22	Mbeya Kwanza - Mtibwa Sugar	1:2 ✺
06.02.22	Simba - Mbeya Kwanza	1:0 ✺
03.02.22	Ruvu Shooting - Mbeya Kwanza	1:1 ✺
21.01.22	Mbeya Kwanza - Kinondoni MC	1:1 ✺
18.01.22	Mbeya Kwanza - Azam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTTL
- Mbeya City FC
Tanzanian Premier League
27.02.22	Prisons - Mbeya City	1:1 ✺
21.02.22	Namungo - Mbeya City	2:0 ✺
05.02.22	Young Africans - Mbeya City	0:0 ✺
20.01.22	Mbeya City - Ruvu Shooting	1:0 ✺
17.01.22	Mbeya City - Simba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
03.10.21	Mbeya City - Mbeya Kwanza	2:2

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