Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Mechal		Hawassa City

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.82	3.85
	2.04	2.71	4.2
	2.07	2.79	4.06	Watch
	2.05	2.6	3.9
	2.09	2.73	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.65)	2.73 ↓ (2.9)	3.98 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mechal
44.1%

Draw
33.2%

Hawassa City
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

31.8%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

31%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mechal's performance.

Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawassa City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mechal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawassa City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mechal - Hawassa City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 4).

Mechal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hawassa City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mechal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mechal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Mechal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mechal	38	14	15	9	44:31	13	57
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	5	50

Last Results with these Odds

Mechal - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.75%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
15.04.26	Dire Dawa City - Mechal	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Sidama Coffee - Mechal	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Mechal - Shire Endaselassie	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Fasil Kenema - Mechal	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTTT
- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
15.04.26	Hawassa City - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	Fasil Kenema - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Hawassa City - Welwalo Adigrat	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hawassa City	4:2 ✺
10.03.26	Hawassa City - Mekelle 70 Enderta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
07.12.25	Hawassa City - Mechal	1:1
31.05.25	Mechal - Hawassa City	1:3
30.01.25	Hawassa City - Mechal	1:0

Mechal - Hawassa City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide