Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Dire Dawa City		Mechal

	1	X	2
	4.55	2.88	1.82
	4.72	2.98	1.79
	4.6	2.75	1.83
	5.33	2.9	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (4.79)	2.88 ↓ (2.95)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dire Dawa City
18.7%

Draw
31.3%

Mechal
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

30.5%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

29.5%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dire Dawa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Mechal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Dire Dawa City - Mechal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Nassir M. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Yigzaw A. ⚽,
36', Worku A. (Penalty Awarded),
40', 1 - 2, Cujo C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 6).

In recent matches, Dire Dawa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mechal is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Mechal is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dire Dawa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Dire Dawa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mechal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
08.04.26	Shire Endaselassie - Dire Dawa City	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Dire Dawa City - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Dire Dawa City	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Dire Dawa City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTLLW
- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
10.04.26	Sidama Coffee - Mechal	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Mechal - Shire Endaselassie	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Fasil Kenema - Mechal	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Mechal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
02.12.25	Mechal - Dire Dawa City	1:1
02.03.25	Dire Dawa City - Mechal	0:0
14.01.25	Mechal - Dire Dawa City	0:0

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