Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre (Meizhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Meizhou Hakka		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.75	1.62	Watch
	4.6	4.2	1.57
	4.6	4.3	1.62	Watch
	4.8	4.41	1.64
	4.76	4.38	1.58	Watch
	4.8	4.2	1.57
	4.47	4.71	1.58	Watch
	4.6	4.3	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↓ (6.11)	4.41 ↓ (4.92)	1.6 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meizhou Hakka
20.3%

Draw
21.2%

Shanghai Shenhua
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

19%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

18.2%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meizhou Hakka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanghai Shenhua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Meizhou Hakka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Shenhua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	5.9%	64.7%

Meizhou Hakka - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Shenhua: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Meizhou Hakka (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Shanghai Shenhua (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Meizhou Hakka (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Meizhou Hakka (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Shanghai Shenhua (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Guo Quanbo (G) 29. Yue Tze-Nam 6. Liao Junjian 5. Tian Ziyi 20. Wang Jia'nan 4. Jocic B. 28. Zhong Haoran 26. Liu Yun 10. Rodrigo Henrique 8. Ngom Mbekeli J. 16. Yang Chaosheng	1. Xue Qinghao (G) 13. Manafa W. 5. Zhu Chenjie 4. Jiang Shenglong 27. Chan Shinichi 15. Wu Xi 23. Li Ke 17. Gao Tianyi 34. Liu Chengyu 14. Xie Pengfei 11. Saulo Mineiro
Substitutes
15. Chen Xuhuang 9. Cheukoua M. 14. Ji Shengpan 30. Ling Zhongyang 7. Li Ning 31. Rao Weihui 12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 18. Wei Zhiwei 19. Wen Da 17. Yang Yihu 37. Yi Xianlong 24. Zhang Hao	30. Bao Yaxiong (G) 32. Fulangxisi Aidi 3. Jin Shunkai 39. Liu Yujie 33. Wang Haijian 2. Wang Shilong 7. Xu Haoyang 43. Yang Haoyu 16. Yang Zexiang 20. Yu Hanchao 41. Zhou Zhengkai (G)
Coaches
Ristic M.	Slutski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Chan Shinichi 🟨,
45', Jocic B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Li Ke ↓, Wang Haijian ↑,
46', Wu Xi ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Liu Chengyu ⚽, Chan Shinichi (A),
63', Liu Chengyu ↓, Yu Hanchao ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Saulo Mineiro ⚽, Manafa W. (A),
67', Liu Yun ↓, Cheukoua M. ↑,
73', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
73', Liao Junjian ↓, Wei Zhiwei ↑,
75', Xie Pengfei ↓, Yang Haoyu ↑,
81', Manafa W. ↓, Yang Zexiang ↑,
82', Wang Jia'nan ↓, Rao Weihui ↑,
83', Zhong Haoran ↓, Chen Xuhuang ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Yue Tze-Nam ⚽,
89', Xue Qinghao 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 3, Yang Haoyu ⚽, Saulo Mineiro (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 0.

In recent matches, Meizhou Hakka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shanghai Shenhua is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Shanghai Shenhua is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Shanghai Shenhua: Amadou I. (Injury) Dai Wai-Tsun (Knee Injury) Teixeira J. (Red Card)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Meizhou Hakka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
02.05.25	Qingdao West Coast - Meizhou Hakka	3:1 ✺
27.04.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Meizhou Hakka	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Shenzhen Peng City	3:0 ✺
16.04.25	Zhejiang Professional - Meizhou Hakka	2:2 ✺
11.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWTL
- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
02.05.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Wuhan Three Towns	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Qingdao Hainiu	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Zhejiang Professional	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
26.06.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Meizhou Hakka	3:0
03.03.24	Meizhou Hakka - Shanghai Shenhua	0:2
17.07.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Meizhou Hakka	2:1
21.04.23	Meizhou Hakka - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1
01.12.22	Meizhou Hakka - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1
20.09.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Meizhou Hakka	1:0

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