Match Info

Super League - Round 9

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Qingdao Youth Football Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Qingdao Hainiu		Meizhou Hakka

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.05
	3.1	3.35	2.24	Watch
	3.36	3.44	2.22
	3.05	3.32	2.29	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.34	3.38	2.22	Watch
	3.1	3.35	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.63)	3.38 ↑ (3.37)	2.2 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Qingdao Hainiu
29.6%

Draw
27.7%

Meizhou Hakka
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.9%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

28.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Hainiu's form might have worsened.

Meizhou Hakka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Meizhou Hakka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Hainiu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Meizhou Hakka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Qingdao Hainiu - Meizhou Hakka Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Meizhou Hakka (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Meizhou Hakka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Mu Pengfei (C) 4. Jin Yangyang 7. Saric E. 10. Feng Boyuan 23. Song Long 25. Jia Feifan 26. Radmanovac N. 31. Luo Senwen 33. Liu Jiashen 34. Jin Yonghao 38. Wong Ho-Chun Anson	41. Guo Quanbo (G) 29. Yue Tze-Nam 6. Liao Junjian (C) 11. Morris D. 20. Wang Jia'nan 4. Jocic B. 28. Zhong Haoran 16. Yang Chaosheng 10. Rodrigo Henrique 8. Ngom Mbekeli J. 9. Cheukoua M.
Substitutes
12. Chen Chunxin 30. Che Shiwei 6. Filipe Augusto 22. Han Rongze (G) 24. Hu Jinghang 8. Lin Chuangyi 1. Liu Jun (G) 5. Sha Yibo 19. Song Wenjie 11. Wellington Silva 2. Xiao Kun 27. Zheng Long	15. Chen Xuhuang 7. Li Ning 26. Liu Yun 31. Rao Weihui 12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 5. Tian Ziyi 21. Wei Xiangxin 18. Wei Zhiwei 19. Wen Da 17. Yang Yihu 37. Yi Xianlong 24. Zhang Hao
Coaches
Li Xiaopeng	Ristic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Jia Feifan 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Ngom Mbekeli J. ⚽, Rodrigo Henrique (A),
34', Saric E. 🟨,
38', Morris D. ↓, Tian Ziyi ↑,
43', Jocic B. 🟨,
45+1', Ngom Mbekeli J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Luo Senwen ↓, Lin Chuangyi ↑,
62', Zhong Haoran ↓, Wei Zhiwei ↑,
62', Cheukoua M. ↓, Liu Yun ↑,
63', Jin Yonghao ↓, Song Wenjie ↑,
65', Jia Feifan ↓, Wellington Silva ↑,
72', Wei Zhiwei 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, Wellington Silva (Pen),
82', Yang Chaosheng ↓, Wei Xiangxin ↑,
90+5', Guo Quanbo 🟨,
90+10', Song Long 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Qingdao Hainiu won 2.

Qingdao Hainiu has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Meizhou Hakka is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Meizhou Hakka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Qingdao Hainiu won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Qingdao Hainiu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League
20.04.25	Henan Songshan Longmen - Qingdao Hainiu	3:1 ✺
16.04.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Qingdao Hainiu	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Yunnan Yukun - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0 ✺
02.04.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Dalian Young Boy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT
- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
20.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Shenzhen Peng City	3:0 ✺
16.04.25	Zhejiang Professional - Meizhou Hakka	2:2 ✺
11.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Wuhan Three Towns	3:1 ✺
02.04.25	Shanghai Port - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
28.07.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Meizhou Hakka	4:2
10.04.24	Meizhou Hakka - Qingdao Hainiu	0:0
12.08.23	Meizhou Hakka - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0
14.05.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Meizhou Hakka	2:0
Chinese Jia League
16.07.16	Qingdao Hainiu - Meizhou Hakka	1:1
03.04.16	Meizhou Hakka - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0

Upcoming Matches