Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: AAMI Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Melbourne City		Johor Darul Takzim

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.98	3.45	2.2	Watch
	2.88	3.85	2.25
	2.89	3.81	2.16	Watch
	3.02	3.54	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3)	3.66 ↓ (3.7)	2.23 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Melbourne City
32%

Draw
25.7%

Johor Darul Takzim
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

25.8%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

26%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Johor Darul Takzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johor Darul Takzim than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Melbourne City - Johor Darul Takzim Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Johor will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Johor (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Melbourne City (1.84) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Johor (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beach P. (G) 36. Shillington H. 22. Ferreyra G. 4. Bonetig L. 16. Behich A. (C) 19. Schreiber Z. 27. Trewin K. 10. Kanamori T. 30. Kuen A. 47. Rahmani K. 17. Caputo M.	58. Zubiaurre A. (G) 24. Arribas O. 36. Parra R. 23. Israfilov E. 5. Antonio Cristian 33. Silva J. 4. Fazail A. 30. Insa N. (C) 28. Mendez N. 9. Bergson 11. Jairo
Substitutes
37. Antoniou P. 38. Baker B. 60. Charles L. (G) 45. Kalms R. 44. Kutleshi B. 53. Mackintosh A. 35. Memeti M. 15. Nabbout A. 34. Necovski J. 33. Ochsenham D. (G) 26. Souprayen S.	1. Abad Amat C. (G) 77. Bermejo C. 70. Castillejo S. 22. Corbin-Ong L. 21. Faiz N. 16. Hazmi S. (G) 88. Hidalgo M. 14. Lowry S. 13. Park J. 3. Saad S. 20. Teto A.
Coaches
Vidmar A.	Xisco

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Caputo M. ⚽, Kanamori T. (A),
8', Arribas O. 🟨,
11', Bonetig L. 🟨,
25', Behich A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Schreiber Z. 🟨,
61', Insa N. ↓, Teto A. ↑,
63', Kanamori T. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
63', Bonetig L. ↓, Kutleshi B. ↑,
69', Rahmani K. ↓, Baker B. ↑,
69', Caputo M. ↓, Nabbout A. ↑,
76', Silva J. ↓, Castillejo S. ↑,
88', Parra R. ↓, Bermejo C. ↑,
89', Schreiber Z. ↓, Antoniou P. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Memeti M. ⚽, Baker B. (A),
90+2', Beach P. 🟨,
90+3', Bergson 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Melbourne City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Johor is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of away games.

Johor might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City
Australian A-League
21.11.25	Adelaide United - Melbourne City	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.11.25	Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
Australian A-League
31.10.25	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Melbourne City - Perth Glory	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWTW
- Johor Darul Takzim FC
Malaysian Super League
21.11.25	Johor Darul Takzim - Melaka	7:1 ✺
Malaysian FA Cup
09.11.25	Kuching City - Johor Darul Takzim	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.25	Johor Darul Takzim - Shanghai Shenhua	3:1 ✺
Malaysian Super League
31.10.25	Terengganu FA - Johor Darul Takzim	0:5 ✺
Malaysian FA Cup
28.10.25	Johor Darul Takzim - Penang	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches