Match Info

A-League - Round 10

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: AAMI Park (Melbourne)

Referee: Reibelt C. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Melbourne City		Perth Glory

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.1	5	Watch
	1.58	4.15	4.95	Watch
	1.56	4.32	5.57	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5
	1.61	4.12	5.74	Watch
	1.6	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.56)	4.13 ↓ (4.22)	5.21 ↓ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Melbourne City
59.3%

Draw
22.7%

Perth Glory
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

22.4%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

21.8%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Perth Glory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	4.3%	13%

Melbourne City - Perth Glory Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Perth (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Perth (3.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Perth (2.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Perth (4.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Melbourne City will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 4 - 40%). Perth (votes: 6 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beach P. (G) 27. Trewin K. 22. Ferreyra G. 4. Bonetig L. 13. Atkinson N. 47. Rahmani K. 30. Kuen A. 10. Kanamori T. 16. Behich A. (C) 15. Nabbout A. 17. Caputo M.	29. Sutton M. (G) 2. Shamoon C. A. 45. Kaltack B. 4. Wootton S. (C) 3. Sutton S. 20. Ostler T. 27. Freney W. 18. Bozinovski R. 7. Pennington N. 17. Sulemani A. 34. Lawrence T.
Substitutes
37. Antoniou P. 38. Baker B. 39. Durakovic E. 35. Memeti M. 33. Ochsenham D. (G) 19. Schreiber Z. 26. Souprayen S.	21. Bugarija A. 39. De Abreu G. 5. Foxe R. 24. Lebib A. 26. Ngo K. 22. Taggart A. 40. Warner R. (G)
Coaches
Vidmar A.	Griffiths A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Lawrence T. ⚽, Ostler T. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Lawrence T. ⚽, Sulemani A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bonetig L. ↓, Souprayen S. ↑,
46', Caputo M. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
55', Bozinovski R. ↓, De Abreu G. ↑,
61', Kanamori T. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
61', Ostler T. ↓, Ngo K. ↑,
62', Sulemani A. ↓, Taggart A. ↑,
68', De Abreu G. 🟨,
74', Ferreyra G. 🟨,
76', Kuen A. ↓, Baker B. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Lawrence T. ⚽,
82', Atkinson N. ↓, Antoniou P. ↑,
84', Sutton S. ↓, Foxe R. ↑,
84', Lawrence T. ↓, Lebib A. ↑,
85', Behich A. 🟨,
86', Griffiths A. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 3, Nabbout A. ⚽, Durakovic E. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Perth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Melbourne City is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Melbourne City: Leckie M. (Hamstring Injury) Lopane A. (Ankle Injury) Mazzeo B. (Muscle Injury) Nieuwenhuizen J. (Knee Injury) Rahmani K. (Concussion) Shillington H. (Concussion) Souprayen S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Wong L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Perth: Amos L. (Knee Injury) Anasmo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Bozinovski R. (Injury) Cook C. (Knee Injury) Despotovski S. (Calf Injury) Kucharski J. (Injury) Lisolajski Z. (Hamstring Injury) Risdon J. (Yellow Cards) Taggart A. (Injury) Wales L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 46:28. (average 2.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 2.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City
Australian A-League
23.12.25	Melbourne City - Macarthur FC	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
10.12.25	FC Seoul - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
Australian A-League
06.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTWT
- Perth Glory
Australian A-League
20.12.25	Perth Glory - Adelaide United	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Perth Glory - Sydney	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Perth Glory - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Macarthur FC - Perth Glory	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Newcastle Jets - Perth Glory	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
25.10.25	Melbourne City - Perth Glory	4:0
15.02.25	Melbourne City - Perth Glory	1:0
10.11.24	Perth Glory - Melbourne City	0:5
Australian Cup
03.08.24	Perth Glory - Melbourne City	5:4 ET
Australian A-League
14.04.24	Melbourne City - Perth Glory	8:0
02.02.24	Perth Glory - Melbourne City	4:2
08.12.23	Perth Glory - Melbourne City	1:2

Melbourne City - Perth Glory: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide