Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday


	Melbourne City		Pathum United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.16	3.3	3
	2.23	3.3	2.95
	2.2	3.44	3.34
	2.4	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.16	3.46	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.18)	3.3 ↑ (3.14)	3.08 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne City
41.5%

Draw
28.2%

Pathum United
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

30.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	36.4%	13.6%

Melbourne City - Pathum United Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Pathum United will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Melbourne City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pathum United in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Melbourne City will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melbourne City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City
AFC Champions League
24.04.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
21.04.22	Melbourne City - Jeonnam Dragons	2:1 ✺
18.04.22	Melbourne City - United City	3:0 ✺
15.04.22	Pathum United - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
Australian A-League
09.04.22	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWWTL
- BG Pathum United
AFC Champions League
24.04.22	United City - Pathum United	1:3 ✺
21.04.22	Pathum United - United City	5:0 ✺
18.04.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Pathum United	0:2 ✺
15.04.22	Pathum United - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
Thai League 1
10.04.22	Pathum United - Nakhon Ratchasima	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
15.04.22	Pathum United - Melbourne City	1:1

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