Match Info

AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 12

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Ironbark Fields (Melbourne)

Referee: Williams C. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Play, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Western United		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.9	3.75	1.68
	3.85	3.9	1.71
	4	4.13	1.74	Watch
	3.8	3.75	1.75
	4	3.94	1.68	Watch
	3.85	3.9	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.37)	3.9 ↑ (3.85)	1.71 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western United
23.4%

Draw
23.4%

Melbourne City
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

23.9%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

23.4%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Western United - Melbourne City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Western United will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dall'Oste A. (G) 24. Sardo J. 28. Dehakiz I. 18. Maher G. 8. Grove S. 16. Taranto M. 6. Logarzo C. 9. Eggesvik S. 15. Taranto A. 10. Johnson K. 34. Zimmerman C.	24. Mieres M. (G) 8. Apostolakis A. 5. Otto T. 13. Stott R. 27. Vlajnic T. 19. Bosch L. 14. Hughes L. 18. Davidson L. 17. Speckmaier M. 10. Pollicina R. 6. McKenna L.
Substitutes
7. De Domizio K. 20. Hieda K. 36. Lincoln C. (G) 5. Medwin A. 13. Prakash A.	23. Barbieri M. (G) 7. Harvey K. 12. McMahon S. 9. McNamara H. 16. Roestbakken K.
Coaches
Smith K.	Matricciani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Logarzo C. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Johnson K. ⚽, Zimmerman C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pollicina R. ↓, McNamara H. ↑,
60', Taranto A. ↓, Hieda K. ↑,
67', Davidson L. ↓, McMahon S. ↑,
71', Sardo J. 🟨,
77', Bosch L. 🟨,
78', McKenna L. ↓, Harvey K. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, McNamara H. ⚽,
88', Zimmerman C. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Western United is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Melbourne City is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Melbourne City is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Western United won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Western United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western United Women
Australian A-League Women
11.01.25	Canberra United - Western United	2:1 ✺
03.01.25	Western United - Newcastle Jets	2:0 ✺
29.12.24	Western United - Brisbane Roar	2:8 ✺
22.12.24	Central Coast Mariners - Western United	1:3 ✺
14.12.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Western United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWL
- Melbourne City FC Women
Australian A-League Women
11.01.25	Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Sydney FC - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
31.12.24	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	0:0 ✺
28.12.24	Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix	2:1 ✺
20.12.24	Adelaide United - Melbourne City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
25.01.24	Melbourne City - Western United	1:3
05.11.23	Western United - Melbourne City	2:2
10.02.23	Western United - Melbourne City	2:1
17.12.22	Melbourne City - Western United	1:3

Western United - Melbourne City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide