Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 10

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Frank Holohan Soccer Complex (Dandenong)


	Dandenong City		Dandenong Thunder

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.58
	2.35	3.6	2.75
	2.32	3.8	2.66	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.7
	2.29	3.54	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.71)	3.53 ↑ (3.47)	2.71 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dandenong City
39.9%

Draw
26.1%

Dandenong Thunder
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

25.7%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dandenong City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dandenong City's performance.

Dandenong Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dandenong Thunder might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dandenong City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dandenong Thunder could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Dandenong City - Dandenong Thunder Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dandenong City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Dandenong Thunder will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dandenong City won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dandenong City won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dandenong City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dandenong City SC
Australian NPL Victoria
17.04.26	Dandenong City - Green Gully	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Dandenong City - Bentleigh Greens	3:0 ✺
31.03.26	South Melbourne - Dandenong City	4:2 ✺
20.03.26	Dandenong City - Hume City	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Avondale - Dandenong City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLTL
- Dandenong Thunder
Australian NPL Victoria
18.04.26	Altona Magic - Dandenong Thunder	2:4 ✺
11.04.26	Dandenong Thunder - Green Gully	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Bentleigh Greens - Dandenong Thunder	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Dandenong Thunder - South Melbourne	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Hume City - Dandenong Thunder	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
30.08.25	Dandenong Thunder - Dandenong City	0:1
30.05.25	Dandenong City - Dandenong Thunder	1:2
22.02.25	Dandenong Thunder - Dandenong City	2:2
22.06.24	Dandenong Thunder - Dandenong City	1:0
15.03.24	Dandenong City - Dandenong Thunder	1:2
25.06.22	Dandenong City - Dandenong Thunder	1:3
25.03.22	Dandenong Thunder - Dandenong City	2:2

Dandenong City - Dandenong Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide