Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 8

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Melbourne Srbija		Eastern Lions

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.9	3.7
	1.69	4.1	3.8
	1.67	4.38	3.86	Watch
	1.65	4.15	3.99
	1.69	4.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.93)	4.13 ↑ (4)	3.83 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Srbija
54.2%

Draw
22%

Eastern Lions
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

22.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

21.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Srbija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Srbija's performance.

Eastern Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eastern Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Srbija than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Srbija that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern Lions than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eastern Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melbourne Srbija - Eastern Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Melbourne Srbija is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Eastern Lions is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Melbourne Srbija is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Melbourne Srbija
Australian Victoria Premier League
23.03.25	Melbourne City Youth - Melbourne Srbija	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Melbourne Srbija - Moreland City	4:4 ✺
08.03.25	Melbourne Srbija - Northcote City	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Bentleigh Greens - Melbourne Srbija	2:1 ✺
21.02.25	Manningham United - Melbourne Srbija	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TTTLT
- Eastern Lions SC
Australian Victoria Premier League
22.03.25	Eastern Lions - North Sunshine Eagles	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Melbourne City Youth - Eastern Lions	3:1 ✺
07.03.25	Moreland City - Eastern Lions	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Eastern Lions - Northcote City	1:1 ✺
21.02.25	Bentleigh Greens - Eastern Lions	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLTL

Melbourne Srbija - Eastern Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide