Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 15

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday


	Melbourne Victory Youth		Heidelberg United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.75	5.75	1.28
	7	5.4	1.3
	8	6.69	1.28
	7.05	6.25	1.31	Watch
	8.5	5	1.29
	6.87	5.6	1.29
	8.7	5.6	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.7 ↑ (6.44)	5.76 ↑ (5.61)	1.28 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Melbourne Victory Youth
12%

Draw
16.1%

Heidelberg United
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.2%

16.3%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

15.5%

73.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Heidelberg United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Melbourne Victory Youth - Heidelberg United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Juach B. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, James Ngor S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 3, Ali J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Victory Youth is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Heidelberg United is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Heidelberg United is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Victory Youth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Victory Youth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Victory Youth
Australian NPL Victoria
17.05.25	Altona Magic - Melbourne Victory Youth	1:0 ✺
09.05.25	Dandenong City - Melbourne Victory Youth	3:1 ✺
05.05.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Hume City	2:3 ✺
28.04.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Dandenong Thunder	3:4 ✺
14.04.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Preston Lions	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Heidelberg United
Australian NPL Victoria
16.05.25	Heidelberg United - Melbourne Knights	2:1 ✺
09.05.25	Heidelberg United - Port Melbourne Sharks	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Oakleigh Cannons - Heidelberg United	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Heidelberg United - Avondale	3:1 ✺
13.04.25	South Melbourne - Heidelberg United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
14.02.25	Heidelberg United - Melbourne Victory Youth	1:0
21.08.16	Melbourne Victory Youth - Heidelberg United	1:4
22.05.16	Heidelberg United - Melbourne Victory Youth	4:2

Melbourne Victory Youth - Heidelberg United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide