Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 37

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)


	Melilla		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.33
	1.75	3.1	4.33
	1.78	3.4	4.5
	1.83	3.44	4.73
	1.78	3.44	4.73
	1.78	3.33	4.59
	1.76	3.3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.71)	3.32 ↓ (3.52)	4.52 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
51.9%

Draw
27.7%

Atlético Baleares
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

25.8%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Melilla - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Salcedo J. (G) 2. Loren 19. Rodriguez M. 4. Suarez D. 12. Macias A. 5. Selasi R. 10. Gonzalez J. (C) 18. Siddiki O. 6. Hernandez P. 7. Morillo V. 9. Jose Enrique	1. Vila R. (G) 2. Campabadal E. 12. Gonzalez R. 15. Juanra 30. Ortega D. 10. Pastrana V. 21. Nana 6. Villapalos A. (C) 31. Andrews G. 29. Piera J. 7. Marong N.
Substitutes
22. Alassan A. 11. Bandaogo A. 8. Cotan A. 20. Garcia D. 15. Kavtaradze B. 21. Mateo J. 1. Montoya J. (G) 23. Niang M. 24. Victores A. (G)	17. Alarcon R. 3. Fornies 5. Jaume J. 13. Lario J. (G) 8. Ramon A. 16. Rodriguez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Jose Enrique ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Rodriguez M. ↓, Bandaogo A. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Hernandez P. ⚽,
71', Siddiki O. ↓, Cotan A. ↑,
71', Hernandez P. ↓, Alassan A. ↑,
80', Morillo V. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
80', Jose Enrique ↓, Kavtaradze B. ↑,
83', Kavtaradze B. 🟥,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Melilla is Relegated to

Atlético Baleares is Relegated to

Recent matches Melilla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Baleares is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Melilla is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.05.24	Atlético Madrid B - Melilla	0:0 ✺
05.05.24	Melilla - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Castellón - Melilla	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Melilla - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Real Murcia - Melilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWLWL
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.05.24	Atlético Baleares - Linares Deportivo	3:1 ✺
05.05.24	Algeciras - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Atlético Baleares - Intercity	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Ceuta - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Atlético Baleares - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.23	Atlético Baleares - Melilla	1:0
Club Friendly
12.08.23	Melilla - Atlético Baleares	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.12.19	Melilla - Atlético Baleares	0:0
Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
16.06.19	Atlético Baleares - Melilla	1:0
09.06.19	Melilla - Atlético Baleares	0:0

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