Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)


	Melilla		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.55
	2.55	2.75	2.7
	2.7	2.95	2.7
	2.8	2.81	2.85
	2.8	2.81	2.85
	2.64	2.94	2.73
	2.6	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.03)	2.88 ↓ (2.9)	2.73 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
34.5%

Draw
31.9%

Atlético Sanluqueño
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

31.2%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

30.6%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Sanluqueño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Melilla - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Melilla will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Salcedo J. (G) 21. Mateo J. 19. Rodriguez M. (C) 16. Caro J. 12. Hernandez D. 5. Selasi R. 4. Suarez D. 22. Alassan A. 9. Jose Enrique 7. Morillo V. 15. Kavtaradze B.	1. Perez S. (G) 23. Coke 20. Roman F. 5. Rojas J. 8. Carbonell P. 30. Gonzalez Macho J. 6. Calderon M. 22. Gonzalez J. 14. Vacaz L. 16. Garcia Perez J. L. 7. Ramon N.
Substitutes
11. Bandaogo A. 8. Cotan A. 20. Garcia D. 10. Gonzalez J. 6. Hernandez P. 14. Koffi 2. Loren 1. Montoya J. (G) 23. Niang M. 18. Siddiki O. 24. Victores A. (G) 3. Yuste A.	15. Bastida A. 4. Cortijo A. 3. Diaz V. 13. Flere J. (G) 2. Ghailan Z. 19. Mwepu F. 12. Sanchez A. 11. Talaveron D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Coke 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Coke ⚽,
54', Alassan A. 🟨,
58', Kavtaradze B. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
58', Alassan A. ↓, Siddiki O. ↑,
60', Roman F. ↓, Cortijo A. ↑,
65', Gonzalez Macho J. ↓, Diaz V. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Morillo V. ⚽,
74', Calderon M. ↓, Mwepu F. ↑,
80', Morillo V. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
80', Selasi R. ↓, Hernandez P. ↑,
85', Ramon N. ↓, Talaveron D. ↑,
85', Garcia Perez J. L. ↓, Ghailan Z. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melilla won 4.

Melilla is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atlético Sanluqueño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Sanluqueño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Melilla won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.03.24	Linares Deportivo - Melilla	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Melilla - Granada B	4:3 ✺
10.03.24	Intercity - Melilla	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Melilla - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Córdoba - Melilla	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLLL
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.03.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Ceuta - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Málaga	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Linares Deportivo - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Algeciras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.12.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Melilla	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.04.19	Melilla - Atlético Sanluqueño	4:0
02.12.18	Atlético Sanluqueño - Melilla	0:1
19.03.17	Melilla - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0
30.10.16	Atlético Sanluqueño - Melilla	1:2
19.01.14	Melilla - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:1
08.09.13	Atlético Sanluqueño - Melilla	2:1

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