Match Info

Date: 21 March 2021, Sunday


	Melilla		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.85	2.1
	3.4	2.8	2.25
	3.35	2.75	2.23
	3.61	2.86	2.36
	3.24	3.03	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.29)	2.86 ↓ (3.08)	2.25 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
27%

Draw
32.1%

Badajoz
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

29.3%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

19.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badajoz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Melilla - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Promotion Group)).

Badajoz is Qualified for Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Promotion Group)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Badajoz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melilla won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.03.21	Extremadura UD - Melilla	2:1 ✺
07.03.21	Melilla - Don Benito	1:1 ✺
21.02.21	Socuéllamos - Melilla	0:1 ✺
14.02.21	Melilla - Villarrubia	0:0 ✺
10.02.21	Villarrobledo - Melilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWTT
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.03.21	Badajoz - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Villanovense - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
14.02.21	Villarrobledo - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
06.02.21	Villarrubia - Badajoz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.01.21	Badajoz - Melilla	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.05.19	Melilla - Badajoz	2:1
16.12.18	Badajoz - Melilla	1:0
04.02.18	Melilla - Badajoz	0:0
17.09.17	Badajoz - Melilla	0:2

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