Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20Date: 25 January 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | Television Melilla |
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 |
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Melilla |
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La Unión |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3 |
3.05 |
|
 |
2.19 |
3.27 |
3.37 |
|
 |
2.48 |
3.14 |
2.73 |
 Watch |
 |
2.13 |
3.13 |
3.23 |
|
 |
2.12 |
3.14 |
3.33 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.5) |
3.14 ↑
(2.8) |
3.14 ↑
(2.85) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Melilla
41.4% | Draw
29.3% | La Unión
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melilla's performance.La Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (+2%)Melilla - La Unión Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Riera R. ⚽,
- 28', 0 - 2, El Kounni K. ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 2, Abreu ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 2, Segura A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7).Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Melilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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