Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Television Melilla


	Melilla		Yeclano Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.78	2.98
	2.44	2.83	3.09	Watch
	2.43	2.79	3.04
	2.3	2.8	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.44)	2.8 ↓ (2.83)	3.04 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
37.9%

Draw
32.3%

Yeclano Deportivo
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

31.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

32.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Yeclano Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Melilla aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeclano Deportivo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Melilla - Yeclano Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Segura A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).

In recent matches, Melilla has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yeclano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Melilla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Yeclano Deportivo - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.22%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.01.26	Linares Deportivo - Melilla	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Melilla - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Almeria B - Melilla	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Melilla - Estepona	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Puente Genil - Melilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTTWT
- Yeclano Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.01.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Atlético Malagueño - Yeclano Deportivo	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	La Unión - Yeclano Deportivo	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Minera - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.09.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Melilla	1:0
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Yeclano Deportivo - Melilla	3:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.09.18	Yeclano Deportivo - Melilla	1:2 ET

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