Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Melita		St. Andrews

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	4.75
	1.51	4.17	4.87
	1.58	3.9	4.9	Watch
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.48	4.1	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)	3.93 (3.93)	5 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melita
59%

Draw
22.9%

St. Andrews
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.3%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

St. Andrews has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Melita - St. Andrews Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Moreno K. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Moreno K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Bondin K. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Melita is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Melita won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Melita won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Melita	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3
13	St. Andrews	2	0	1	1	1:4	-3	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melita FC
Maltese Challenge League
08.03.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Melita	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Melita	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Melita - Sirens	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Melita	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Melita - Balzan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWWW
- St. Andrews FC
Maltese Challenge League
07.03.26	St. Andrews - Sirens	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Fgura United - St. Andrews	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Balzan - St. Andrews	1:4 ✺
14.02.26	St. Andrews - Santa Lucia	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - St. Andrews	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
13.12.25	St. Andrews - Melita	1:0
26.11.23	St. Andrews - Melita	0:3
02.10.22	Melita - St. Andrews	6:2

Melita - St. Andrews: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide