Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Melita		Sirens

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	2.95
	2.12	3.4	2.88	Watch
	2.17	3.45	2.92	Watch
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.16	3.32	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.02)	3.35 ↓ (3.6)	2.92 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melita
42.4%

Draw
26.8%

Sirens
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

24.3%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Sirens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirens than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Melita - Sirens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Grech Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Yepez J. ⚽,

Preview

Melita has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sirens is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Melita may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Melita might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Melita won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Melita won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Sirens	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
7	Melita	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melita FC
Maltese Challenge League
14.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Melita	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Melita - Balzan	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Santa Lucia - Melita	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Melita	1:4 ✺
11.01.26	Melita - Marsa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTWW
- Sirens FC
Maltese Challenge League
15.02.26	Mtarfa - Sirens	0:8 ✺
07.02.26	Sirens - Żurrieq	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Fgura United - Sirens	1:5 ✺
17.01.26	Gudja United - Sirens	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Sirens - Pietà Hotspurs	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
22.11.25	Sirens - Melita	2:1
13.01.18	Melita - Sirens	0:2
09.09.17	Sirens - Melita	4:0
09.04.17	Sirens - Melita	2:2

Melita - Sirens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide