Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 16

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Gżira United		Melita

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	6.25
	1.42	4.4	6	Watch
	1.46	4.58	5.95
	1.43	4.47	6.05	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.37	4.55	6.69
	1.42	4.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.41)	4.42 ↓ (4.48)	6.21 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gżira United
64.6%

Draw
20.7%

Melita
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.5%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

19.6%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Melita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melita than the current prediction. (-1%)

Gżira United - Melita Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gżira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Badawi J. (G) 6. Borg A. 47. Borg B. 19. De Filippis M. 9. Faysal C. 11. Macula 98. Mendoza J. 3. Mentz G. (C) 23. Schembri S. 17. Sno S. 22. Zammit K. II	1. Mizzi G. (G) 17. Abela J. 2. Aquilina A. 18. Attard E. 6. Attard J. P. (C) 26. Bondin K. 20. Cassar B. 10. Debattista M. 7. Mohnani K. 23. Testaferrata P. G. 13. Van de Bovenkamp M.
Substitutes
8. Aquilina G. 18. Barbosa D. 15. Bartolo J. 99. Duzzi Nulli S. (G) 29. Ghigo G. 13. Hedley J. 7. Lubanzadio Aldama B. T. 30. Mangano G. (G) 14. Riascos L. 93. Thiaguinho 92. Tulimieri K.	24. Barone G. 29. Clarke J. 21. Cutajar D. 22. Gyamfi C. 12. Lubik A. (G) 77. Martinez S. 8. Mifsud N. 15. Mizzi L. 9. Sammut M. 27. Sanchez Gonzalez C. A. 3. Simanca A.
Coaches
Tedesco G.	Mizzi C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Macula ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Attard E. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Attard E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cassar B. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
46', Attard E. ↓, Sammut M. ↑,
46', Aquilina A. ↓, Mifsud N. ↑,
57', Faysal C. ↓, Lubanzadio Aldama B. T. ↑,
57', De Filippis M. ↓, Tulimieri K. ↑,
67', Schembri S. ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
70', Testaferrata P. G. ↓, Gyamfi C. ↑,
70', Bondin K. ↓, Barone G. ↑,
77', Zammit K. II 🟨,
83', 2 - 2, Tulimieri K. ⚽,
86', Sno S. ↓, Hedley J. ↑,
86', Borg B. ↓, Ghigo G. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 12).

Recent performances by Gżira have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Melita is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Melita has had a series of away games.

In this match, Gżira is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 2.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gżira won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
28.04.25	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Paola Hibernians - Gżira United	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Gżira United	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Gżira United - Balzan	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Gżira United - Balzan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWTT
- Melita FC
Maltese Premier League
28.04.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Melita	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Naxxar Lions - Melita	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Balzan - Melita	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Paola Hibernians - Melita	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	Melita - Marsaxlokk	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
01.02.25	Gżira United - Melita	2:2
22.12.24	Gżira United - Melita	0:2
14.09.24	Melita - Gżira United	2:3
Maltese FA Trophy
27.01.19	Gżira United - Melita	4:2

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