Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday

Location: AutoZone Park (Memphis)

Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)


	Memphis 901		Detroit City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4	5.75	Watch
	1.52	4.1	5.25
	1.52	4.26	6.13
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.47	4.1	6.15	Watch
	1.49	3.95	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.6)	4.03 ↑ (3.7)	5.96 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Memphis 901
61.8%

Draw
22.8%

Detroit City
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

24.3%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Memphis 901 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Detroit City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Memphis 901 - Detroit City Predictions

Users Predictions: Memphis 901 will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Romig A. (G) 19. Buckmaster R. 16. Smith G. (C) 27. Peters J. 14. Ward A. 18. Kelly J. 8. Turci L. 7. Lapa B. 10. Da Costa R. 20. Pickering N. 11. Kissiedou L.	1. Steinwascher N. (G) 12. Bryant M. 5. Carroll S. . (C) 30. Amoo-Mensah D. 21. Rodriguez M. 8. Diop A. 91. Fisher O. 11. Rutz C. 2. Williams R. 7. Lehland S. 9. Morris B.
Substitutes
77. Borczak D. 24. Dally R. 35. Dyer N. 4. Hyndman E. 6. Molloy A. 26. Seeger A. (G)	26. Ballard R. 24. Gasso D. 17. Levis B. 27. Matthews Y. 4. Robinson J. 13. Shellow R. (G) 92. Suarez D.
Coaches
Glass S.	James T.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Memphis has the most likely position - 1 (25.51%), project points - 57, currently - 21, a very good chance of playoffs (98%), a good chance of qtrs (63%), a chance of semis (35%), a chance of final (18%), a small chance of win league (9%).

Detroit City has the most likely position - 10 (15.49%), project points - 37, currently - 12, a chance of playoffs (39%), a small chance of qtrs (11%), a very small chance of semis (4%), a very small chance of final (1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 13, small importance 16, small match rating 14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Memphis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Memphis is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Memphis to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Memphis won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Memphis won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Memphis 901
USL Championship
10.06.23	Louisville City - Memphis 901	1:3 ✺
03.06.23	Memphis 901 - Miami	5:1 ✺
19.05.23	Tulsa - Memphis 901	1:2 ✺
13.05.23	Memphis 901 - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
10.05.23	Birmingham Legion - Memphis 901	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWWL
- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
14.06.23	Hartford Athletic - Detroit City	1:3 ✺
07.06.23	Charleston Battery - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Detroit City - Birmingham Legion	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Detroit City - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Detroit City	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
22.10.22	Memphis 901 - Detroit City	3:1
25.06.22	Memphis 901 - Detroit City	2:0
02.04.22	Detroit City - Memphis 901	1:1

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