Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Al Lang Stadium (St. Petersburg, FL) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lezama E. (Nic)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:30	Disney+
Brazil	20:30	Disney+
Chile	20:30	Disney+
Colombia	18:30	Disney+
Mexico	17:30	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	18:30	Disney+
Uruguay	20:30	Disney+
Usa	19:30	ESPN App, ESPN+, NESN
Venezuela	19:30	Disney+


	Tampa Bay Rowdies		Detroit City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.25	4.00
	1.82	3.3	4.1
	1.81	3.33	5.39
	1.83	3.19	4.76	Watch
	1.83	3.05	5.15
	1.83	3.45	4.29	Watch
	1.81	3.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)	3.27 ↑ (2.96)	4.54 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rowdies
51.2%

Draw
28.4%

Detroit City
20.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.1%

31.3%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

32%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Tampa Bay Rowdies aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Detroit City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Waite J. (G) 26. Acoff D. 27. Wyke L. 62. Dossantos N. (C) 20. Ostrem C. 8. Pedro Becker 23. Schneider M. 13. Perez L. 10. Cicerone R. 30. Cruz S. 9. Myers M.	91. Saldana C. (G) 12. Bryant M. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 4. Montgomery C. 3. Stanley A. 15. Dalou A. 21. Rodriguez M. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 14. Yamazaki H. 7. Smith D. 32. Diouf A.
Substitutes
55. Archer L. 14. Henderlong K. 4. Hilton L. 16. Micaletto M. 24. Pack A. (G) 36. Rodriguez A. 3. Schaefer B. 11. Vivi Quesada G.	10. Cedeno J. 8. Diop A. 16. Mkuruva T. (G) 19. Niang C. 17. Rafa Mentzingen 33. Silva T. 6. Williams R.
Coaches
Casciato D.	Dichio D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Schneider M. 🟨,
26', Pedro Becker 🟨,
38', Dalou A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Bryant M. 🟨,
62', Perez L. ↓, Micaletto M. ↑,
62', Pedro Becker ↓, Henderlong K. ↑,
65', Yamazaki H. 🟨,
71', Diouf A. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
71', Dalou A. ↓, Niang C. ↑,
82', Yamazaki H. ↓, Rafa Mentzingen ↑,
83', Hernandez-Foster K. 🟨,
88', 1 - 0, Cruz S. ⚽,
90+4', Myers M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,

Preview

Tampa Bay is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).

Detroit City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1.

Tampa Bay has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Detroit City is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Detroit City has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Tampa Bay is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Tampa Bay has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:11 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tampa Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 9:5 goals (averaging 2.3:1.3 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship
10.10.26	Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	San Antonio - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion	4:0 ✺
12.09.26	Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTWL
- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
10.10.26	Detroit City - Rhode Island	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Detroit City - Birmingham Legion	1:0 ✺
30.09.26	Brooklyn - Detroit City	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Detroit City - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Detroit City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
22.08.26	Detroit City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:0
25.10.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Detroit City	1:1
23.08.25	Detroit City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:0
02.11.24	Detroit City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:2 penalties
21.08.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Detroit City	2:3
06.07.24	Detroit City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1
13.05.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Detroit City	5:1

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