Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 30

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Mensajero		Getafe B

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.1	3	2.1
	3.3	3.1	2.2
	3.4	3	2.25
	3.4	3	2.25
	3.29	3.13	2.2
	3.1	3.1	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.45)	3.06 ↑ (2.95)	2.2 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
28.4%

Draw
29.9%

Getafe B
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

31%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

31.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mensajero's form might have worsened.

Getafe B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Getafe B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mensajero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Getafe B than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Getafe B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mensajero - Getafe B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Claverias A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Mensajero is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Getafe B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Villanovense - Mensajero	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Mensajero - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Numancia - Mensajero	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	Mensajero - Illescas	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Atlético Paso - Mensajero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL
- Getafe B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Badajoz - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Getafe B - Villanovense	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	Navalcarnero - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Getafe B - Numancia	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Illescas - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Getafe B - Mensajero	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.05.16	Mensajero - Getafe B	5:0
03.01.16	Getafe B - Mensajero	3:0

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