The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mensajero 36.5%
Draw 32.6%
Illescas 30.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.1%
31.1%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
31.6%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Mensajero - Illescas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Mensajero is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Illescas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Mensajero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.