Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 26

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Mensajero		Illescas

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.9	2.88
	2.4	2.75	2.87
	2.55	2.85	2.95
	2.62	2.79	3.12
	2.62	2.71	3.12
	2.53	2.88	2.98
	2.5	2.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.7)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	2.97 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
36.5%

Draw
32.6%

Illescas
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

31.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

32%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Mensajero - Illescas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Mensajero is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Illescas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mensajero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.03.24	Atlético Paso - Mensajero	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Mensajero - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Montijo - Mensajero	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Mensajero - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Cacereño - Mensajero	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLT
- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.03.24	Illescas - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Villanovense - Illescas	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Illescas - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Numancia - Illescas	2:3 ✺
04.02.24	Badajoz - Illescas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.10.23	Illescas - Mensajero	3:1

Mensajero - Illescas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide