Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 28

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Mensajero		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.37	2.85	2.87
	2.4	2.9	3.1
	2.65	2.92	2.8
	2.65	2.92	2.8
	2.46	3.05	2.9
	2.44	2.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.54)	2.93 ↓ (3)	2.89 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
36.9%

Draw
31.3%

Navalcarnero
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30.6%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

30.3%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Mensajero - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Gomez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Mensajero won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.03.24	Numancia - Mensajero	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	Mensajero - Illescas	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Atlético Paso - Mensajero	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Mensajero - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Montijo - Mensajero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLW
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.03.24	Navalcarnero - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Villanovense - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Badajoz - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Navalcarnero - Numancia	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Illescas - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.11.23	Navalcarnero - Mensajero	2:2
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.12.18	Mensajero - Navalcarnero	2:5
21.11.18	Navalcarnero - Mensajero	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.04.17	Mensajero - Navalcarnero	1:1
27.11.16	Navalcarnero - Mensajero	1:1

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