Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Xerez Deportivo		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.5
	1.8	3.4	3.75
	1.76	3.4	4
	1.78	3.41	4.84
	1.72	3.52	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.98)	3.41 ↑ (3.18)	4.35 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez Deportivo
52.2%

Draw
26.8%

UD San Fernando
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

19.9%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xerez Deportivo's performance.

UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xerez Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD San Fernando could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Xerez Deportivo - UD San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Xerez Deportivo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Xerez Deportivo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Xerez Deportivo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Xerez Deportivo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Xerez Deportivo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Xerez Deportivo - Leganés	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.11.21	Tamaraceite - Xerez Deportivo	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	Xerez Deportivo - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Coria - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Xerez Deportivo - Cadiz CF B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.11.21	UD San Fernando - Vélez	0:0 ✺
21.11.21	Ceuta - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	UD San Fernando - Panadería Pulido	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Las Palmas B - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	UD San Fernando - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWLL

Xerez Deportivo - UD San Fernando

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Xerez Deportivo - UD San Fernando Predictions

Preview

Form

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