Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: GGZ-Arena Zwickau (Zwickau)

Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Zwickau		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.8
	2.3	3.3	2.95
	2.2	3.4	2.95
	2.3	3.3	2.95
	2.4	3.56	2.97
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.3	3.44	2.91	Watch
	2.27	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.17)	3.34 ↓ (3.43)	2.93 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwickau
40.6%

Draw
27.7%

Borussia Dortmund II
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.7%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	19%	19%

Zwickau - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Zwickau will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwickau: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Zwickau is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borussia Dortmund II is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zwickau will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zwickau won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Zwickau won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
11.09.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Zwickau	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	Zwickau - Viktoria Köln	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	Verl - Zwickau	3:0 ✺
22.08.22	Zwickau - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
13.08.22	Elversberg - Zwickau	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLWL
- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
10.09.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Dynamo Dresden - Borussia Dortmund II	3:0 ✺
28.08.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Freiburg II	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Borussia Dortmund II	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
18.12.21	Borussia Dortmund II - Zwickau	3:1
24.07.21	Zwickau - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2

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