Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 37

Date: 22 May 2023, Monday

Location: Hansch-Arena (Meppen)

Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Meppen		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	7	5	1.33
	7.5	5.25	1.36
	6.5	4.8	1.36
	7.07	5.58	1.39
	7.5	4.5	1.32
	7.5	5.25	1.33	Watch
	6.2	4.6	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.04 ↑ (4.4)	5 ↑ (3.9)	1.35 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meppen
13.1%

Draw
18.5%

Dynamo Dresden
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

24%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

23.5%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meppen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Meppen's form might have worsened.

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Dresden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meppen than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Meppen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Dresden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	3.8%	73.1%

Meppen - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Meppen will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Dynamo Dresden is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Meppen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Meppen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Meppen
German 3 Bundesliga
14.05.23	Osnabrück - Meppen	2:2 ✺
06.05.23	Meppen - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Meppen	1:2 ✺
23.04.23	Meppen - Saarbrücken	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Meppen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.9 TWWWL
- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
13.05.23	Zwickau - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Dynamo Dresden - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1 ✺
29.04.23	Freiburg II - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Dynamo Dresden - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1 ✺
14.04.23	Saarbrücken - Dynamo Dresden	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
15.01.23	Dynamo Dresden - Meppen	1:1
06.03.21	Meppen - Dynamo Dresden	0:4
31.10.20	Dynamo Dresden - Meppen	3:0

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