Match Info

Date: 8 December 2021, Wednesday


	Merani Martvili		Torpedo Kutaisi

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.32
	3.07	3.26	2.31
	2.95	3.19	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (2.94)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	2.28 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merani Martvili
31.5%

Draw
28.3%

Torpedo Kutaisi
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

28.3%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

20.7%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merani Martvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Torpedo Kutaisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merani Martvili than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merani Martvili that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torpedo Kutaisi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

1st leg.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Torpedo Kutaisi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Merani Martvili won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Merani Martvili won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merani Martvili
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
03.12.21	Chikhura Sachkhere - Merani Martvili	0:6 ✺
21.11.21	Merani Martvili - Gareji Sagarejo	1:0 ✺
06.11.21	Sioni Bolnisi - Merani Martvili	3:1 ✺
31.10.21	Merani Martvili - Shevardeni Tbilisi	3:1 ✺
24.10.21	Zugdidi - Merani Martvili	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW
- Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
04.12.21	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	4:1 ✺
28.11.21	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samtredia	4:1 ✺
07.11.21	Shukura Kobuleti - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:1 ✺
31.10.21	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dila Gori	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Cup
21.04.21	Merani Martvili - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:0 penalties
Club Friendly
13.02.21	Torpedo Kutaisi - Merani Martvili	0:0
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
19.02.16	Merani Martvili - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:1
14.08.15	Torpedo Kutaisi - Merani Martvili	4:0
05.03.15	Torpedo Kutaisi - Merani Martvili	1:1
18.04.14	Torpedo Kutaisi - Merani Martvili	5:1
26.02.14	Torpedo Kutaisi - Merani Martvili	1:1

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