Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 17

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday


	Mercadal		Penya Independent

	1	X	2
	3.65	2.9	1.88
	3.9	3	1.85
	3.76	2.93	1.83
	4.06	3	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.78)	2.96 ↑ (2.94)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercadal
23%

Draw
29.9%

Penya Independent
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

29.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

28.4%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mercadal have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Penya Independent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Mercadal - Penya Independent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Mercadal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Penya Independent is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Penya Independent have a series of home games.

In this match Penya Independent is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mercadal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
14.01.23	Sóller - Mercadal	1:2 ✺
07.01.23	Santanyí - Mercadal	1:0 ✺
17.12.22	Mercadal - Binissalem	0:1 ✺
10.12.22	Poblense - Mercadal	3:0 ✺
03.12.22	Mercadal - Portmany	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLW
- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
15.01.23	Penya Independent - Constancia	0:1 ✺
07.01.23	Penya Independent - PE Sant Jordi	0:1 ✺
18.12.22	Manacor - Penya Independent	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Penya Independent - Collerense	3:0 ✺
04.12.22	Penya Independent - Andratx	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
18.09.22	Penya Independent - Mercadal	2:0

Mercadal - Penya Independent: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide