Match Info

Primera C - Round 27

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Mercedes		Defensores de Cambaceres

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.70	2.95
	2.55	2.80	2.65
	2.50	2.61	3.13
	2.49	2.67	3.15	Watch
	2.45	2.55	3.05
	2.46	2.83	3.24
	2.41	2.70	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.55)	2.69 ↓ (2.8)	3.02 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercedes
36.6%

Draw
33.5%

Defensores de Cambaceres
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

31.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

32.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Defensores de Cambaceres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Cambaceres than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Mercedes - Defensores de Cambaceres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Meschini A. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Fernandez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 3, Garcia T. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2.

Mercedes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Cambaceres has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Mercedes - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 34.81%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
30.08.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Mercedes	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Mercedes - Sacachispas	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Atlético Claypole - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Argentino de Rosario - Mercedes	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Mercedes - Estrella del Sur	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLT
- Defensores de Cambaceres
Argentinian Primera C
29.08.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Puerto Nuevo - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Leones de Rosario - Defensores de Cambaceres	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Leandro N. Alem	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Lugano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
08.05.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Mercedes	2:1
20.06.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Mercedes	2:1
07.03.25	Mercedes - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:0
20.07.24	Defensores de Cambaceres - Mercedes	0:0
17.02.24	Mercedes - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:0
Argentinian Primera D
28.10.23	Mercedes - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:0
15.07.23	Defensores de Cambaceres - Mercedes	2:0

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