The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leandro N. Alem 31.2%
Draw 32.7%
Mercedes 36.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.6%
30.6%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
27.4%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leandro N. Alem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mercedes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro N. Alem than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Leandro N. Alem - Mercedes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, Amado L. ⚽,
Preview
Leandro N. Alem has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Mercedes is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Leandro N. Alem may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Mercedes is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Leandro N. Alem has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 0.6:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leandro N. Alem against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Mercedes - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.85%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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