Match Info

Primera C - Round 29

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Leandro N. Alem		Mercedes

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.75	2.50
	3.05	2.72	2.38
	2.6	2.76	2.65
	3.22	2.8	2.35	Watch
	2.5	2.7	2.55
	3.24	2.7	2.33
	2.70	2.75	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.45)	2.74 ↓ (3)	2.48 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leandro N. Alem
31.2%

Draw
32.7%

Mercedes
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

30.6%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

27.4%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leandro N. Alem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mercedes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro N. Alem than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Leandro N. Alem - Mercedes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, Amado L. ⚽,

Preview

Leandro N. Alem has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Mercedes is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Leandro N. Alem may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Mercedes is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Leandro N. Alem has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 0.6:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leandro N. Alem against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Mercedes - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.85%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leandro N. Alem
Argentinian Primera C
12.09.26	Deportivo Muñiz - Leandro N. Alem	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Leandro N. Alem	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Leandro N. Alem - Puerto Nuevo	0:3 ✺
25.08.26	Leandro N. Alem - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Leandro N. Alem - Lugano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
10.09.26	Mercedes - Deportivo Español	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Mercedes - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Mercedes	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Mercedes - Sacachispas	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Atlético Claypole - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
23.05.26	Mercedes - Leandro N. Alem	2:0
16.09.25	Mercedes - Leandro N. Alem	0:1
31.05.25	Leandro N. Alem - Mercedes	1:2
20.11.24	Mercedes - Leandro N. Alem	0:1
19.06.24	Leandro N. Alem - Mercedes	0:1

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