Match Info

Primera C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Mercedes		Leones de Rosario

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.75	2.20
	3.3	2.72	2.22	Watch
	3.38	2.62	2.23
	3.47	2.76	2.26	Watch
	3.3	2.55	2.18
	3.42	2.76	2.2
	3.3	2.75	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.9)	2.7 ↓ (2.95)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercedes
26.7%

Draw
33%

Leones de Rosario
40.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.5%

29.9%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

29%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Leones de Rosario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones de Rosario than the current prediction. (-2%)

Mercedes - Leones de Rosario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Britos G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Amado L. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Benitez M. 🟥,
90+6', 2 - 1, Cruz Vera Borda J. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Leones de Rosario is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs ).

Mercedes has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Leones de Rosario have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Leones de Rosario is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Mercedes - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 30.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
12.10.26	Mercedes - Lugano	1:0 ✺
05.10.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Leandro N. Alem - Mercedes	0:1 ✺
10.09.26	Mercedes - Deportivo Español	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWWT
- Leones de Rosario
Argentinian Primera C
12.10.26	Leones de Rosario - Fénix	2:1 ✺
05.10.26	Sportivo Barracas - Leones de Rosario	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Leones de Rosario - Club Luján	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	General Lamadrid - Leones de Rosario	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Lugano - Leones de Rosario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLTT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
26.10.26	Leones de Rosario - Mercedes	✺
- Leones de Rosario
Argentinian Primera C
26.10.26	Leones de Rosario - Mercedes	✺

Mercedes - Leones de Rosario: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide