Match Info

Date: 8 March 2022, Tuesday


	Merstham		Cheshunt

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.78
	3.5	3.6	1.83
	4.01	3.71	1.83
	3.75	3.4	1.75
	3.82	3.78	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.34)	3.62 ↓ (3.73)	1.8 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merstham
24.3%

Draw
25.1%

Cheshunt
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

24.4%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

19.3%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merstham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Cheshunt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cheshunt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Merstham - Cheshunt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 10).

Merstham has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cheshunt is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cheshunt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cheshunt is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Merstham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Merstham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.03.22	Merstham - Leatherhead	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Haringey Borough - Merstham	1:0 ✺
15.02.22	Margate - Merstham	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Merstham - Worthing	0:2 ✺
05.02.22	Cray Wanderers - Merstham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL
- Cheshunt FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.03.22	Cray Wanderers - Cheshunt	1:1 ✺
01.03.22	Cheshunt - Potters Bar Town	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Cheshunt - Kingstonian	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
12.02.22	Stockport County - Cheshunt	1:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.02.22	Cheshunt - Leatherhead	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.09.21	Cheshunt - Merstham	0:1
23.11.19	Cheshunt - Merstham	3:0

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