Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	Merstham		Worthing

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.1	1.63
	4.3	4	1.59
	4.63	4.28	1.63
	3.75	4.33	1.62
	4.5	4.3	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (3.8)	4.2 ↓ (4.32)	1.61 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merstham
21.7%

Draw
21.7%

Worthing
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

21%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

13.5%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merstham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merstham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Worthing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Merstham - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Merstham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Worthing is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Worthing have a series of home games.

In this match Worthing is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Merstham won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Merstham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.02.22	Cray Wanderers - Merstham	3:0 ✺
29.01.22	Merstham - Kingstonian	0:0 ✺
22.01.22	Bowers & Pitsea - Merstham	0:1 ✺
15.01.22	Lewes - Merstham	3:0 ✺
01.01.22	Merstham - Wingate & Finchley	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWLW
- Worthing FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.02.22	Worthing - Wingate & Finchley	6:0 ✺
29.01.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Worthing	1:1 ✺
25.01.22	Worthing - Folkestone Invicta	3:1 ✺
22.01.22	Worthing - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
15.01.22	Worthing - Leatherhead	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.10.21	Worthing - Merstham	2:1
11.01.20	Worthing - Merstham	6:1
01.10.19	Merstham - Worthing	1:3
27.04.19	Worthing - Merstham	2:4
30.01.19	Merstham - Worthing	1:0
02.04.18	Worthing - Merstham	3:2
01.01.18	Merstham - Worthing	0:4

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