Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Merstham		Leatherhead

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.7	3.3
	1.89	3.6	3.3
	1.9	3.91	3.54
	1.67	4	3.75
	1.88	3.7	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.69)	3.78 ↓ (4)	3.49 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merstham
49.8%

Draw
24.1%

Leatherhead
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

22.7%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

18.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merstham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Leatherhead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merstham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leatherhead than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leatherhead, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Merstham - Leatherhead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Merstham won 2.

Merstham has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leatherhead is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Leatherhead have a series of home games.

In this match Merstham is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Merstham won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Merstham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.02.22	Haringey Borough - Merstham	1:0 ✺
15.02.22	Margate - Merstham	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Merstham - Worthing	0:2 ✺
05.02.22	Cray Wanderers - Merstham	3:0 ✺
29.01.22	Merstham - Kingstonian	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLT
- Leatherhead
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.02.22	Leatherhead - Hornchurch	0:2 ✺
12.02.22	Leatherhead - Bognor Regis Town	2:2 ✺
08.02.22	Leatherhead - Margate	0:0 ✺
05.02.22	Cheshunt - Leatherhead	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Leatherhead - Bishops Stortford	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.10.21	Leatherhead - Merstham	2:3
25.01.20	Leatherhead - Merstham	0:0
12.10.19	Merstham - Leatherhead	1:4
02.03.19	Leatherhead - Merstham	0:1
11.12.18	Merstham - Leatherhead	0:2
14.04.18	Merstham - Leatherhead	1:1
10.01.18	Leatherhead - Merstham	2:1

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