Match Info

Date: 15 February 2022, Tuesday


	Margate		Merstham

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.8	3.8
	1.7	3.65	4
	1.81	3.71	4.14
	1.57	4	4.33
	1.63	4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.59)	3.83 ↓ (4)	4.17 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Margate
54.4%

Draw
23.8%

Merstham
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

22.6%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

18.5%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Margate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Merstham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Margate than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Margate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (-5%)

Margate - Merstham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Margate won 3.

Recent matches Margate is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Merstham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Merstham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Margate is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Margate won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Margate won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.02.22	East Thurrock United - Margate	0:0 ✺
08.02.22	Leatherhead - Margate	0:0 ✺
05.02.22	Margate - Horsham	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Enfield Town - Margate	4:0 ✺
22.01.22	Margate - Corinthian-Casuals	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWLW
- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.02.22	Merstham - Worthing	0:2 ✺
05.02.22	Cray Wanderers - Merstham	3:0 ✺
29.01.22	Merstham - Kingstonian	0:0 ✺
22.01.22	Bowers & Pitsea - Merstham	0:1 ✺
15.01.22	Lewes - Merstham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.10.21	Merstham - Margate	1:3
01.02.20	Merstham - Margate	1:0
22.10.19	Margate - Merstham	2:1
16.03.19	Margate - Merstham	1:0
14.11.18	Merstham - Margate	1:1
07.11.17	Merstham - Margate	1:2
17.10.17	Margate - Merstham	0:2

Margate - Merstham: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide